Democrats May LOSE The Election As New Poll Shows Democrats Are Quitting, Biden Warns Polls WRONG. Gallups poll showing party affiliation has shifted from D+5 in 2016 to R+1 in 2020 While this may be wishful thinking the data shows that the walk away campaign is real and people are leaving the Democratic party. Whether this translates into a Trump victory is another question. Just because more people are republican now and less Democrat doesn’t mean that Trump will win. While it suggests Joe Biden will get routed and lose it doesn’t mean that turnout will favor one or the other. This could all be wishful thinking on the party of Trump voters