Democrats FAIL To Notice Polls Make NO SENSE, Trump Crushing Early Vote In Major Battleground States. Polls show weird numbers in states like Montana where Trump is down 13 points from 2016. Current polls show that Texas is the closest race in the nation in terms of Trump’s lead but early voting data suggests that he is going to crush it there. Could it be that the polls are substantially worse now than in 2016? One thing Democrats and the Joe Biden campaign have missed is that Republicans and Trump have been registering new voters like crazy suggesting a larger turnout than the polls are tracking. Or perhaps voter habits and COVID altered the landscape to such a degree no one really knows what will happen.