COVID Lockdown Will Cause Trump HISTORIC Defeat According To Economic Model, But I Don’t Believe it. Due to rising unemployment and shuttered business a new Oxford election model shows Trump facing a historic landslide defeat. Democrats in polls are favored to win and as of now things are looking incredibly bad for the GOP and republicans. But I think these models don’t take into account the culture war and perspectives related to the cause of the economic lockdown. Democrats faced a crushing defeat in to special elections which should signal a coming republican red wave and Trump landslide victory . Even right now Trump’s approval rating on the economy is at 51% certainly this is a good sign for trump. Come November voters may actually blame Democrats for their economic woes.